Our website is made possible by displaying non-intrusive online advertisements to our visitors.
Please consider supporting us by disabling or pausing your ad blocker.
boss raised the bet, bankers called. fuhh... never underestimate the boss. he maybe hated due to underperforming share price but he definitely has something up his sleeve/deep toolkit
most of the negatives have been addressed such as penalty by the Las Vegas Authority and also winning the court case with its Bahmas partner and successfully obtained the NY license. instead of rebound, it cont to dive down until 2.20 price which is around the margin call price.
insiders made a move yesterday and continued today. I would expect funds to follow suit as they digest the announcement :) Well, at least funds that are optimistic with Genting will make a move after the announcement yesterday
The good news is the bonds issuance, Vin :) Old notes expiring in Jan 2027 will be replaced with the new bonds. And this new bond is where LKT raised the bet and bankers called. It is perpetual and non call :p Perpetual here meaning no expiry date and non call here means Genting cannot redeem until the agreed date.
correction probably not, Vin :) Profit taking is possible. Privatise GenM to make way for "GentUS" listing in the future will be the best one as IPO proceeds can be used to pare down the debt significantly :) Boost the share price directly.
Profit taking near or above RM2.80 1st ba... still US stocks better return.. bought Broadcom on 26 March at US313 then drop below US300 but now US420 within a month..
Genting raised to outperform from market perform by CreditSights after the details of new bonds issuance published by Gent, Vin :) Refinancing is no longer a concern if you will. I would expect funds that are optimistic with Gent will continue to load up. The next 3 qtrs earnings will determine whether Gent will continue to climb or stay low - (1) GenS performance will determine whether its a 2 years or 3 years license renewal in Feb'27 and whether The Laurus can bring back the VIPs (2) Sneak preview of phase 1 performance of RWNYC in Q2 and followed by full qtr contribution in Q3 (3) Summer deals for RWLV - Q3 performance that will be published by end of the year will provide better clarity of RWLV recovery potential.
Ya, like us busy on work can't really monitor the market. So only can do swing trades which may held for few weeks to months. Need some patient but better and won't jitters as day traders.
ooh ok. maybe you should consider to build a watchlist of ETFs if you are active in the US market :) Use it to provide a sense of direction where the market is heading and whether its risk off or risk on mode :)
LKT raised the bet, bankers called, Mr. Market acted accordingly and now, analysts rerated :) Analysts have revised the stock price targets upwards for Gent :) It was median of 3.44 before this and latest revision showing median of 4.42 with low of 3.54. Not surprising as refinancing/credit risk eases, the details of the new perpetual non call notes may potentially resulted in leverage improvement due to - old notes usd1.5bil will be deducted from the total liabilities, usd0.25bil cash deducted and usd1.25bil added to equity. It buys time for Gent to focus on RWS2.0 expansion and recovery, RWLV and RWNYC.
28th Apr opening of phase 1 RWNYC live table games upon final approval from NY gaming commission. A head start for Gent as the Steve Cohen and Bally's casino anticipated to complete in 2030. And, RWNYC is the only casino in NYC to offer live table games. The nearest live table games casino beyond RWNYC in NYC will be in Atlantic City or Connecticut; slightly more than 2hrs away.
Hope is minor profit taking after above RM2.80 as indicate last week especially RSI above 75. If not too strong profit taking next test is Rm3 and above
its normal to see profit taking, kyory. It will be more interesting to see the numbers for RWNYC in Q2 and Q3 this year with the phase 1 opening scheduled tomorrow. Imagine local gamblers, high rollers, international visitors staying/visiting NYC had nowhere to play in the city. They will have to travel to Atlantic City / Connecticut to play.
most likely, jackie. i saw the term details and particularly the distribution deferral - The Issuer may defer distributions at its sole discretion, Deferred distributions will be cumulative and there is no limit to number of deferrals, The Issuer must defer distributions during certain events as set out in the conditions of the Securities. Hence, high chance that usd1.25bil will be added to the equity, usd1.5bil removed from liabilities, and usd0.25bil cash deducted. It buys time for GenS, RWLV and RWNYC. Leverage will improve a bit but this will still need to be addressed in the long term for it to go way higher - improved earnings/cash flow to pare down debt over time, to list "GenUS" and use the proceeds to pare down the debt and etc.
saw the line item in the malakoff's qr report. searched it and found the details in Malakoff AR 2017. Here are the details: On 15 March 2017, Tanjung Bin Energy Sdn. Bhd. (“TBE”), a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company, issued unrated perpetual sukuk of RM800 million in nominal value in accordance with Shariah principle of Wakalah Bi Al-Istithmar (“Sukuk Wakalah”) with an unconditional and irrevocable subordinated cash deficiency support from the Company. Details of the Sukuk Wakalah are as follows:
a) The perpetual sukuk has no fixed redemption date and the Company has an option to redeem all or part of the
perpetual sukuk at the end of the seventh year from date of issuance and thereafter on each subsequent periodic
distribution date;
b) The perpetual sukuk is unsecured and carries a periodic distribution rate of 5.9% per annum, payable semi-annually
from year 1 to year 7. Thereon, the period distribution rate shall be 1% above the prevailing periodic distribution rate;
c) The Company has the right to defer the payment of the periodic distribution amount by giving the required deferral
notice. Deferred periodic distribution, if any, will be cumulative but will not earn additional profits thus there will be no
compounding effect; and
d) The holder of perpetual sukuk shall have no voting rights at any general meeting of the shareholders of TBE
the details showing its no fixed redemption date which means no due date/expiry which is perpetual. Option to redeem all or part at the end of 7th year - fits the definition of non-call. last but not least, has the right to defer the payment of distribution - which is deferral. All the criteria fits into equity instead of liabilities.
interesting interview on site. Rob's message at 2.30 - most favored nation clause! :) What it literally means is that RWNYC will pay the same tax rates as the other two casinos in the future; when they are up and running in 2030. Not aware of that as it was never published or mentioned before. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LA2FuxCVJfo
you are welcome, Vin. Just need to manage our own positions well will do in my personal opinion. 3 main drivers to be considered and monitored - (1) refinancing for notes maturing in 2027 - progressing well and refinancing risk eases (2) eps/ebitda - need to show eps/ebitda improvement mainly driven by GenS, RWLV and RWNYC (3) leverage - Gent has to pare down the debt / deleverage over time.
Yes it is, jackie. Leverage will be reduced too as usd1.5bil removed from liabilities. Performance of GenS, RWLV and RWNYC in the near future will be key to higher rerating.
Agreed, Eddy. I have to get the updates from foreign news/media. Boss was there at the opening ceremony. Genting's media / public affairs team couldn't be bothered to provide updates?
possible censor by top management as not to attract much attention. The plan to privatize GenM with low valuation still stand. 1 more month to go before the restriction of the 6 months period is lifted for privatization offer again.
It will be tough to use hopes on the mgmt from my personal opinions, Vin. I am using publicly available information to manage the expectation for my current position in Gent. (1) the new 1.25bil notes has a distribution of fixed 8.3% (series 2) per year interest. My expectation to hold Gent's stock is min 10% capital gain / yr (2) Rating agencies downgraded Gent mainly bcos of leverage - high debt/ebitda. My expectation here is ebitda to keep improving/growing moving forward - GenS, RWLV & RWNYC
Makes no sense to hold Gent stock if Gent cannot deliver these 2 expectations. It's better to opt for the notes if you will. Just my personal criteria / decision making process.
its alright, Eddy. After all, we can still get updates from foreign news/media. All we need to do is just monitor the performance. For RWS, 2026 performance will be critical towards Feb'27 license renewal. Most of the phase 1 intended renovations and disruptions have been completed with The Laurus being the last one end of last year. Realistically, RWS contribution to Gent group from ebitda perspective should at least be above rm800mil per qtr. As for RWNYC, Fitch estimated ebitda usd215mil contribution in 2026 which means rm200mil per qtr. So, Gent's US & Bahamas segment ebitda should at least contribute rm300mil per qtr in Q3'26; full qtr contribution of phase 1 RWNYC and RWLV summer promotion. RWLV q4'25 ebitda is ~ 60mil. Just my own expectations and could be wrong.
It's impossible to derive a conclusion from our end, Philip. The reason is we do not know who are the institutional/investors for the 1.5bil notes and they may have their own reason to keep receiving the distribution until Jan'27. From Gent perspective, the balance usd617.5 mil in the doc will have to be redeemed by Jan'27. And usd1.25 bil notes has been listed SGX which means there will be a net cash movement for Gent of usd300+ mil (1.25bil - 882mil).
Gent will have to fund the balance (617mil - 300+ mil) to fully redeem it by jan'27. Can be funded by dividend income from gens/genm, existing cash balance, interest income or even the additional income from rwnyc. I do not see any risk coming from the notes expiring in jan'27
Marina Bay Sands (MBS) charted another new high for the first quarter, with earnings climbing 30.2 per cent to US$788 million – or S$1 billion – for the three months ended Mar 31.
Its adjusted property earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (Ebitda) was US$605 million in the corresponding year-ago period. This came as net revenue picked up 27.9 per cent year on year to US$1.5 billion, from US$1.2 billion previously.
Gaming segment lost badly to MBS. This year performance will be critical for GenS - (1) for Feb'27 license renewal (2) Phase 1 disruptions and renovations have been completed with the Laurus being the last one end of last year. Will be interesting to see whether the gaming performance will show qoq & yoy improvement.
Cheng last Q...gens only got 174m sgd EBITDA... as you predicted..800m EBITDA convert to sgd around 258m sgd for Q1 ? if yes. ..consider very good news :-)
That's right, Vin. I take it as the disruptions in phase 1 causes lower footfall traffic instead of changing consumer behaviors. Non-gaming segment is good while gaming segment is not good. MBS previous results were strong showing demand for gaming is strong. q4'25 MBS results is almost equivalent to full fiscal year performance of GenS in 2025. That's how strong the demand is.
luxury all-suite hotel with low occupancy rate is a failure. it will be a wrong direction if The Laurus fails to bring back the VIPs, jackie. I dont think that is the case until the data shows otherwise :) For now, the hotel occupancy rate in Singapore is above 80% in Q1'26. Feb is pretty high at 88%. Jul and Aug is always the peak for Singapore's tourism. I am following the tourism statistics from the following link https://stan.stb.gov.sg/content/stan/en/tourism-statistics.html